To study the change law of kill probability for single Air-Defense Missile(ADM) in killing scope,the factors affecting kill probability were analyzed according to kill principle of single ADM,and the mathematical model of kill probability for ADM was established.The kill probability for single ADM was calculated.The calculation methods of guidance error,priming distribution of fuze,priming probability of fuze and damage probability of warhead were respectively determined.Taking certain type ADM for instance,the change of kill probability in killing scope was analyzed;the relating table of kill probability and trajectory error was obtained by Matalab simulation.The result shows that the kill probability of single ADM gradually decreases with the increase of trajectory error.The study result offers decision strategy for controlling ADM to hit target effectively.
Key words
anti-air missile /
kill probability /
combat effectiveness
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References
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Footnotes
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