Kill Probability Calculation Model for Weakly Correlative Firing Error of Anti-aircraft Artillery

YAO Zhi-jun;XIE Jie-tao;ZHAO Zhi-ming;GUO Zhi;WANG Jun

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  • Sponsored by: China Association for Science and Technology (CAST)

    Editor-In-Chief: Xu Yida

    ISSN 1000-1093

    　

  • Hosted By: China Ordnance Society

    Published By: Acta Armamentarii

    CN 11-2176/TJ

Acta Armamentarii, a Chinese monthly journal, was first published in 1979. The journal is supervised by China Association for Science and Technology, sponsored by China Ordnance Society，and edited and published by Editorial Board of Acta Armamentarii. The Journal is included in all important domestic databases，and also collected by Engineering Index (EI, USA), Chemical Abstracts (CA, USA), Science Abstracts (SA, UK）, Abstract Journal (AJ, Russia), and Current Bibliography on Science and Technology(CBST).Acta Armamentarii has been selected into the journal Of Ordnance Science and Technology (Weapons Industry) Field Of High Quality Scientific and Technological Periodical Classification Catalogue (2022 edition), ranking T1, and the journal of Automotive Engineering Field of High Quality Scientific and technological Periodical classification Catalogue, ranking T2.
Acta Armamentarii ›› 2018, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6) : 1082-1087. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2018.06.006
Paper

Kill Probability Calculation Model for Weakly Correlative Firing Error of Anti-aircraft Artillery

  • YAO Zhi-jun1， XIE Jie-tao1， ZHAO Zhi-ming1， GUO Zhi2， WANG Jun2
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Abstract

An equation of state of weakly correlative firing error is established to accurately calculate the kill probability of anti-aircraft artillery, and the recursive calculation formula of hit probability is deduced by strict mathematical deduction, that is, the recursive calculation formula of kill probability under 0-1 damage law. The result is accurate and gives the error bound of finite value, which can be used as the evaluation criterion of other models. Comparison with the existing methods indicates that the error model conversion method, including the national standard, has obvious deviation, and its deviation is more obvious for the multi-barrel anti-aircraft artillery. Key

Key words

anti-aircraftartillery / weakcorrelation / firingerror / killprobability / recursivemodel

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YAO Zhi-jun， XIE Jie-tao， ZHAO Zhi-ming， GUO Zhi， WANG Jun. Kill Probability Calculation Model for Weakly Correlative Firing Error of Anti-aircraft Artillery. Acta Armamentarii. 2018, 39(6): 1082-1087 https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1000-1093.2018.06.006

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第39卷第6期
2018年6月兵工学报ACTA
ARMAMENTARIIVol.39No.6Jun.2018

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